GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 3/5/2025, 9:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Aserri FC · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Aserri FC are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Turrialba Fc are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LDLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 3.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Aserri FC hold a 4.3-point power-rating edge (26.7 v 22.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 70.3% in the Liga de Ascenso, while Aserri FC holds the strongest overall chance at 70% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Aserri FC

Probability

70.3%

Model confidence

70.3%

Aserri FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Aserri FCLLWDL

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Turrialba FcLDLLL

GF 5 · GA 17 · avg 1.00/3.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Aserri FCTurrialba Fc
0.0Attack28.1
66.7Defence10.4
0.0Form18.8
26.7Power22.4
2.36xG0.72
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