GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 8/20/2023, 5:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Aserri FC · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Aserri FC are 2W-1D-1L in their last 4 (DLWW), averaging 0.50 scored and 0.25 conceded, while Turrialba Fc are 0W-2D-1L in their last 3 (LDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.67 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 7 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Aserri FC hold a 4.3-point power-rating edge (26.7 v 22.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 70.3% in the Liga de Ascenso, while Aserri FC holds the strongest overall chance at 70% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Aserri FC

Probability

70.3%

Model confidence

70.3%

Aserri FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Aserri FCDLWW

GF 2 · GA 1 · avg 0.50/0.25

BTTS 0/4O2.5 0/4
Turrialba FcLDD

GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.67

BTTS 3/3O2.5 1/3
Aserri FCTurrialba Fc
0.0Attack28.1
66.7Defence10.4
0.0Form18.8
26.7Power22.4
2.36xG0.72
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