Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Santa Ana · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Aserri FC are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DDLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Santa Ana are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Santa Ana hold a 53.7-point power-rating edge (26.7 v 80.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.5% in the Liga de Ascenso, while Santa Ana holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Santa Ana
Probability
38.5%
Model confidence
38.5%
Santa Ana has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20
GF 4 · GA 13 · avg 0.80/2.60