Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Santa Ana · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Aserri FC are 2W-0D-0L in their last 2 (WW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.00 conceded, while Santa Ana are 2W-0D-0L in their last 2 (WW), averaging 2.50 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 4 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Santa Ana hold a 53.7-point power-rating edge (26.7 v 80.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.5% in the Liga de Ascenso, while Santa Ana holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Santa Ana
Probability
38.5%
Model confidence
38.5%
Santa Ana has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 0 · avg 1.00/0.00
GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 2.50/1.00