GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 4/6/2025, 9:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Limón Black Star · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Aserri FC are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Limón Black Star are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Limón Black Star hold a 32.5-point power-rating edge (26.7 v 59.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.3% in the Liga de Ascenso, while Limón Black Star holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Limón Black Star

Probability

47.3%

Model confidence

47.3%

Limón Black Star has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Aserri FCLWLWW

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Limón Black StarWWWLW

GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Aserri FCLimón Black Star
0.0Attack53.9
66.7Defence64.7
0.0Form57.8
26.7Power59.1
0.93xG1.52
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