GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 3/3/2024, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Limón Black Star · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Aserri FC are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Limón Black Star are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Limón Black Star hold a 32.5-point power-rating edge (26.7 v 59.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.3% in the Liga de Ascenso, while Limón Black Star holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Limón Black Star

Probability

47.3%

Model confidence

47.3%

Limón Black Star has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Aserri FCLLLDL

GF 5 · GA 13 · avg 1.00/2.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Limón Black StarDWWLW

GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Aserri FCLimón Black Star
0.0Attack53.9
66.7Defence64.7
0.0Form57.8
26.7Power59.1
0.93xG1.52
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