GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 8/27/2023, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Guadalupe FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Aserri FC are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDLW), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Guadalupe FC are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWDLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Guadalupe FC hold a 38.2-point power-rating edge (26.7 v 64.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.3% in the Liga de Ascenso, while Guadalupe FC holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Guadalupe FC

Probability

39.3%

Model confidence

39.3%

Guadalupe FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Aserri FCLWDLW

GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Guadalupe FCDWDLL

GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Aserri FCGuadalupe FC
0.0Attack66.7
66.7Defence50.0
0.0Form66.7
26.7Power64.8
1.28xG1.51
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