GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 8/22/2024, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Aserri FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Aserri FC are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDDLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Futbol Consultants Moravia are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Aserri FC hold a 3.0-point power-rating edge (26.7 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.5% in the Liga de Ascenso, while Aserri FC holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Aserri FC

Probability

40.5%

Model confidence

40.5%

Aserri FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Aserri FCLDDLW

GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Futbol Consultants MoraviaLLLLL

GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Aserri FCFutbol Consultants Moravia
0.0Attack33.3
66.7Defence33.3
0.0Form0.0
26.7Power23.7
1.49xG1.21
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