GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 10/6/2024, 5:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Escorpiones Belén · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Aserri FC are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Escorpiones Belén are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Escorpiones Belén hold a 32.2-point power-rating edge (26.7 v 58.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.0% in the Liga de Ascenso, while Escorpiones Belén holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Escorpiones Belén

Probability

49.0%

Model confidence

49.0%

Escorpiones Belén has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Aserri FCLDLLW

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Escorpiones BelénLLLWL

GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Aserri FCEscorpiones Belén
0.0Attack76.7
66.7Defence42.5
0.0Form58.3
26.7Power58.9
1.51xG2.16
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