GGOALVIO

Aserri FC logoAserri FCvsCS Uruguay logoCS Uruguay

COMPLETED

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 10/1/2023, 1:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Aserri FC · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Aserri FC are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLDDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while CS Uruguay are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and CS Uruguay hold a 9.8-point power-rating edge (26.7 v 36.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.8% in the Liga de Ascenso, while Aserri FC holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Aserri FC

Probability

37.8%

Model confidence

37.8%

Aserri FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Aserri FCLLDDW

GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
CS UruguayWLLLL

GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Aserri FCCS Uruguay
0.0Attack33.3
66.7Defence50.0
0.0Form16.7
26.7Power36.5
1.39xG1.21
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