GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 10/20/2024, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Cariari Pococi · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Aserri FC are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Cariari Pococi are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DDWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Cariari Pococi hold a 38.2-point power-rating edge (26.7 v 64.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.9% in the Liga de Ascenso, while Cariari Pococi holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Cariari Pococi

Probability

35.9%

Model confidence

35.9%

Cariari Pococi has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Aserri FCWWLDL

GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Cariari PocociDDWWW

GF 12 · GA 3 · avg 2.40/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Aserri FCCariari Pococi
0.0Attack16.7
66.7Defence100.0
0.0Form66.7
26.7Power64.8
1.16xG1.28
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