GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 9/19/2025, 1:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Aserri FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Aserri FC are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while AD Carmelita are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and AD Carmelita hold an 18.7-point power-rating edge (26.7 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 34.6% in the Liga de Ascenso, while Aserri FC holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Aserri FC

Probability

34.6%

Model confidence

34.6%

Aserri FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Aserri FCWLDLW

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
AD CarmelitaWLWDL

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Aserri FCAD Carmelita
0.0Attack66.7
66.7Defence33.3
0.0Form33.3
26.7Power45.3
1.40xG1.38
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