Aserri FCvs
AD Carmelita
COMPLETEDCosta-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 9/19/2025, 1:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Aserri FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Aserri FC are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while AD Carmelita are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and AD Carmelita hold an 18.7-point power-rating edge (26.7 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 34.6% in the Liga de Ascenso, while Aserri FC holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Aserri FC
Probability
34.6%
Model confidence
34.6%
Aserri FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00