ASEC Mimosasvs
Maghreb Fès
COMPLETEDWorld · CAF Champions League · 10/24/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: ASEC Mimosas 0-0 Maghreb Fès, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
ASEC Mimosas 1-2 Maghreb Fès
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 00:31 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.39 | 37.9% | 35.4% | -2.5 pts |
| Draw | 2.86 | 31.6% | 30.6% | -1.0 pts |
| Away | 2.97 | 30.5% | 34.0% | 3.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.0 pts
Projected Score
ASEC Mimosas 0–0 Maghreb Fès
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
30.6%
Model confidence
35.4%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ASEC MimosasDDDLW
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Maghreb FèsDLDWW
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
ASEC MimosasMaghreb Fès
44.4Attack55.6
66.7Defence77.8
55.6Form55.6
59.1Power62.7
0.98xG0.99