Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Ascoli are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Pianese are 1W-1D-1L in their last 3 (DLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.67 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 8 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Pianese hold a 5.7-point power-rating edge (44.7 v 50.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.7% in the Serie C - Girone B, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 27% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
39.7%
Model confidence
39.7%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.67