Ascoli U19vs
Napoli U19
COMPLETEDItaly · Campionato Primavera - 2 · 9/19/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ascoli U19 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ascoli U19 2-2 Napoli U19
Original prediction
Ascoli U19
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.27 | 38.9% | 39.0% | 0.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.20 | 27.6% | 27.0% | -0.6 pts |
| Away | 2.63 | 33.5% | 34.0% | 0.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.20 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Ascoli U19
Probability
39.0%
Model confidence
39.0%
Ascoli U19 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80
GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20