Ascoli U19vs
Monopoli U19
COMPLETEDItaly · Campionato Primavera - 2 · 10/24/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Monopoli U19 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (9%), 1-1 (9%), 1-3 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ascoli U19 0-2 Monopoli U19
Original prediction
Monopoli U19
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 19:25 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.31 | 38.8% | 30.5% | -8.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.53 | 25.3% | 25.6% | 0.2 pts |
| Away | 2.49 | 35.9% | 44.0% | 8.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.49 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–29%
- 2.1–19%
- 3.1–38%
Predicted outcome
Monopoli U19
Probability
44.0%
Model confidence
44.0%
Monopoli U19 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 17 · avg 1.60/3.40
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40