Asante Kotokovs
Karela
COMPLETEDGhana · Premier League · 10/1/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Asante Kotoko · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (11%), 1-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Asante Kotoko 1-0 Karela
Original prediction
Asante Kotoko
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 05:17 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.64 | 55.5% | 41.5% | -14.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.48 | 26.1% | 27.9% | 1.9 pts |
| Away | 4.93 | 18.4% | 30.6% | 12.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.64 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-14.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–011%
- 3.1–010%
Predicted outcome
Asante Kotoko
Probability
41.5%
Model confidence
41.5%
Asante Kotoko has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20