Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Stabaek · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-3 (9%), 1-4 (9%), 0-3 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Asane 0-1 Stabaek
Original prediction
Stabaek
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 01:46 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 6.31 | 14.5% | 10.5% | -4.0 pts |
| Draw | 5.14 | 17.8% | 12.6% | -5.1 pts |
| Away | 1.35 | 67.7% | 76.9% | 9.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.35 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–39%
- 2.1–49%
- 3.0–37%
Predicted outcome
Stabaek
Probability
76.9%
Model confidence
76.9%
Stabaek has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
AsaneLWLLD
GF 5 · GA 14 · avg 1.00/2.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
StabaekWDLWL
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
AsaneStabaek
47.4Attack80.8
23.1Defence56.4
29.5Form62.8
35.3Power65.4
1.24xG3.77