Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lyn · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-2 (8%), 2-1 (7%), 1-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Asane 1-2 Lyn
Original prediction
Lyn
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:48 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.12 | 29.4% | 38.5% | 9.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.84 | 23.9% | 19.7% | -4.2 pts |
| Away | 1.97 | 46.7% | 41.9% | -4.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.97 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–28%
- 2.2–17%
- 3.1–27%
Predicted outcome
Lyn
Probability
41.9%
Model confidence
41.9%
Lyn has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
AsaneWLLDL
GF 9 · GA 16 · avg 1.80/3.20
BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
LynWLWDW
GF 18 · GA 10 · avg 3.60/2.00
BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
AsaneLyn
50.0Attack53.7
25.9Defence29.6
31.5Form37.0
37.4Power40.9
2.28xG2.24