Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Asane · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Asane are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DDWWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while jerv are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLDLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and jerv hold a 5.8-point power-rating edge (34.9 v 40.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.6% in the 1. Division, while Asane holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 75% BTTS chance and 75% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Asane
Probability
39.6%
Model confidence
39.6%
Asane has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60