Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
hodd · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (8%), 2-2 (7%), 1-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Asane 2-2 hodd
Original prediction
hodd
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:17 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.33 | 39.4% | 32.9% | -6.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.52 | 26.0% | 23.5% | -2.5 pts |
| Away | 2.65 | 34.6% | 43.5% | 8.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.52 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–28%
- 2.2–27%
- 3.1–17%
Predicted outcome
hodd
Probability
43.5%
Model confidence
43.5%
hodd has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
AsaneDLWLL
GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20
BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
hoddWLWWW
GF 13 · GA 11 · avg 2.60/2.20
BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Asanehodd
50.0Attack58.3
26.7Defence40.0
30.0Form55.0
37.2Power52.9
1.87xG2.51