Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bryne · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Asane 0-4 Bryne
Original prediction
Bryne
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 20:46 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.49 | 26.4% | 32.0% | 5.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.65 | 25.2% | 22.2% | -3.0 pts |
| Away | 1.90 | 48.5% | 45.8% | -2.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.90 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Bryne
Probability
45.8%
Model confidence
45.8%
Bryne has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
AsaneDDDDL
GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00
BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
BryneWWLLW
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
AsaneBryne
51.5Attack42.4
27.3Defence53.0
30.3Form48.5
38.0Power49.8
1.52xG1.78