Asan Mugunghwavs
Cheongju
COMPLETEDSouth-Korea · K League 2 · 9/12/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Asan Mugunghwa · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (13%), 2-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Asan Mugunghwa 0-1 Cheongju
Original prediction
Asan Mugunghwa
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.15 | 42.6% | 53.8% | 11.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.27 | 28.0% | 24.3% | -3.7 pts |
| Away | 3.12 | 29.4% | 21.9% | -7.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
11.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–013%
- 3.2–011%
Predicted outcome
Asan Mugunghwa
Probability
53.8%
Model confidence
53.8%
Asan Mugunghwa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80