Asan Mugunghwavs
Cheonan City
COMPLETEDSouth-Korea · K League 2 · 9/19/2026, 7:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Asan Mugunghwa · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (14%), 0-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Asan Mugunghwa 3-1 Cheonan City
Original prediction
Asan Mugunghwa
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.99 | 45.6% | 47.4% | 1.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.36 | 27.0% | 26.6% | -0.4 pts |
| Away | 3.31 | 27.4% | 26.0% | -1.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.99 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–014%
- 3.0–013%
Predicted outcome
Asan Mugunghwa
Probability
47.4%
Model confidence
47.4%
Asan Mugunghwa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00