ASAvs
Jacuipense
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie D · 4/4/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
ASA · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
ASA are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDW), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Jacuipense are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DWDLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and ASA hold a 19.8-point power-rating edge (65.3 v 45.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 20.0% in the Serie D, while ASA holds the strongest overall chance at 64% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 30% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
ASA
Probability
64.3%
Model confidence
20.0%
ASA has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.40/1.20
GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 0.60/0.60