ASA Targu Muresvs
Metaloglobus
COMPLETEDRomania · Liga II · 9/5/2026, 8:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Metaloglobus · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (11%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
ASA Targu Mures 3-2 Metaloglobus
Original prediction
Metaloglobus
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:13 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.06 | 44.4% | 35.2% | -9.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.26 | 28.0% | 28.6% | 0.6 pts |
| Away | 3.31 | 27.6% | 36.2% | 8.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–111%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Metaloglobus
Probability
36.2%
Model confidence
36.2%
Metaloglobus has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00