ASA Targu Muresvs
CS Dinamo București
COMPLETEDRomania · Liga II · 9/22/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
ASA Targu Mures · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-0 (11%), 1-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
ASA Targu Mures 4-3 CS Dinamo București
Original prediction
ASA Targu Mures
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.08 | 84.1% | 58.7% | -25.4 pts |
| Draw | 8.27 | 11.0% | 22.0% | 11.0 pts |
| Away | 18.50 | 4.9% | 19.3% | 14.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.08 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-25.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–011%
- 3.1–010%
Predicted outcome
ASA Targu Mures
Probability
58.7%
Model confidence
58.7%
ASA Targu Mures has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
GF 4 · GA 16 · avg 0.80/3.20