ASA Aarhusvs
Sundby
COMPLETEDDenmark · 3. Division · 10/17/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
ASA Aarhus · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
ASA Aarhus 1-2 Sundby
Original prediction
ASA Aarhus
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 18 September 2026 at 15:57 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.86 | 48.7% | 49.6% | 1.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.61 | 25.2% | 22.7% | -2.4 pts |
| Away | 3.47 | 26.2% | 27.6% | 1.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–08%
Predicted outcome
ASA Aarhus
Probability
49.6%
Model confidence
49.6%
ASA Aarhus has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20