ASA Aarhusvs
Næsby
COMPLETEDDenmark · 3. Division · 9/13/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
ASA Aarhus · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
ASA Aarhus 1-0 Næsby
Original prediction
ASA Aarhus
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.47 | 25.9% | 41.0% | 15.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.70 | 24.3% | 23.7% | -0.6 pts |
| Away | 1.81 | 49.8% | 35.3% | -14.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 2.47 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
15.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–27%
Predicted outcome
ASA Aarhus
Probability
41.0%
Model confidence
41.0%
ASA Aarhus has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
GF 16 · GA 7 · avg 3.20/1.40