ASA Aarhusvs
Hørsholm-Usserød
COMPLETEDDenmark · 3. Division · 9/26/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
ASA Aarhus · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
ASA Aarhus 2-1 Hørsholm-Usserød
Original prediction
ASA Aarhus
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 9 September 2026 at 18:38 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.24 | 40.0% | 44.3% | 4.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.57 | 25.1% | 22.6% | -2.5 pts |
| Away | 2.58 | 34.8% | 33.1% | -1.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.24 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–27%
Predicted outcome
ASA Aarhus
Probability
44.3%
Model confidence
44.3%
ASA Aarhus has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80