AS Solimanvs
US Ben Guerdane
COMPLETEDTunisia · Ligue 1 · 9/16/2023, 2:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
AS Soliman are 0W-0D-2L in their last 2 (LL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while US Ben Guerdane are 1W-0D-2L in their last 3 (WLL), averaging 0.67 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 5 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and US Ben Guerdane hold a 6.6-point power-rating edge (40.4 v 47.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.7% in the Ligue 1, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 24% BTTS chance and 15% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
46.7%
Model confidence
46.7%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/2.00
GF 2 · GA 3 · avg 0.67/1.00