AS Solimanvs
Mégrine
COMPLETEDTunisia · Ligue 2 · 10/10/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
AS Soliman · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (13%), 0-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
AS Soliman 2-3 Mégrine
Original prediction
AS Soliman
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 7 October 2026 at 19:39 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.49 | 60.6% | 43.7% | -16.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.61 | 24.9% | 29.4% | 4.5 pts |
| Away | 6.22 | 14.5% | 26.9% | 12.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-16.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–013%
- 3.0–013%
Predicted outcome
AS Soliman
Probability
43.7%
Model confidence
43.7%
AS Soliman has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20