AS Romavs
VfB Stuttgart
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa League · 1/22/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
AS Roma · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
AS Roma are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while VfB Stuttgart are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and AS Roma hold a 7.4-point power-rating edge (61.6 v 54.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.7% in the UEFA Europa League, while AS Roma holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
AS Roma
Probability
48.7%
Model confidence
48.7%
AS Roma has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20