GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 1/22/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

AS Roma · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

AS Roma are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while VfB Stuttgart are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and AS Roma hold a 7.4-point power-rating edge (61.6 v 54.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.7% in the UEFA Europa League, while AS Roma holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

AS Roma

Probability

48.7%

Model confidence

48.7%

AS Roma has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AS RomaWLWWL

GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
VfB StuttgartDWWWD

GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
AS RomaVfB Stuttgart
54.8Attack55.6
71.4Defence58.3
59.5Form50.0
61.6Power54.3
1.50xG0.85
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