GGOALVIO

AS Roma logoAS RomavsSheriff Tiraspol logoSheriff Tiraspol

COMPLETED

World · UEFA Europa League · 12/14/2023, 5:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

AS Roma · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

AS Roma are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DWDWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Sheriff Tiraspol are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and AS Roma hold a 28.3-point power-rating edge (61.6 v 33.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 64.8% in the UEFA Europa League, while AS Roma holds the strongest overall chance at 65% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

AS Roma

Probability

64.8%

Model confidence

64.8%

AS Roma has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AS RomaDWDWD

GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Sheriff TiraspolLLWWL

GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
AS RomaSheriff Tiraspol
54.8Attack8.3
71.4Defence50.0
59.5Form33.3
61.6Power33.4
1.88xG0.58
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