GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 10/5/2023, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

AS Roma · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

AS Roma are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Servette FC are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and AS Roma hold a 32.0-point power-rating edge (61.6 v 29.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 76.5% in the UEFA Europa League, while AS Roma holds the strongest overall chance at 77% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

AS Roma

Probability

76.5%

Model confidence

76.5%

AS Roma has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AS RomaWLDWW

GF 13 · GA 6 · avg 2.60/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Servette FCWDLLW

GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
AS RomaServette FC
54.8Attack22.2
71.4Defence27.8
59.5Form27.8
61.6Power29.7
2.42xG0.51
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