Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
AS Roma · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0
AS Roma are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLDLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while SC Braga are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and AS Roma hold a 13.8-point power-rating edge (61.6 v 47.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 61.1% in the UEFA Europa League, while AS Roma holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
AS Roma
Probability
61.1%
Model confidence
61.1%
AS Roma has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40