Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
AS Roma · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
AS Roma are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Feyenoord are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and AS Roma hold a 13.3-point power-rating edge (61.6 v 48.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 57.7% in the UEFA Europa League, while AS Roma holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
AS Roma
Probability
57.7%
Model confidence
57.7%
AS Roma has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20
GF 5 · GA 1 · avg 1.00/0.20