GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 10/24/2024, 4:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

AS Roma · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

AS Roma are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDLWD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Dynamo Kyiv are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and AS Roma hold a 27.9-point power-rating edge (61.6 v 33.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 62.6% in the UEFA Europa League, while AS Roma holds the strongest overall chance at 63% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

AS Roma

Probability

62.6%

Model confidence

62.6%

AS Roma has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AS RomaLDLWD

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Dynamo KyivWWLWL

GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
AS RomaDynamo Kyiv
54.8Attack16.7
71.4Defence58.3
59.5Form16.7
61.6Power33.8
1.77xG0.57
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