Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
AS Roma · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
AS Roma are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWD), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Brighton are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 61.6 against 60.0. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.0% in the UEFA Europa League, while AS Roma holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 36% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
AS Roma
Probability
49.0%
Model confidence
49.0%
AS Roma has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00
GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40