AS RomavsBayer Leverkusen

AS Roma are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Bayer Leverkusen are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DDDWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Bayer Leverkusen hold an 11.9-point power-rating edge (61.6 v 73.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.8% in the UEFA Europa League, while Bayer Leverkusen holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.