AS Romavs
Athletic Club
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa League · 3/6/2025, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
AS Roma · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
AS Roma are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Athletic Club are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWD), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and AS Roma hold a 3.0-point power-rating edge (61.6 v 58.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.7% in the UEFA Europa League, while AS Roma holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
AS Roma
Probability
47.7%
Model confidence
47.7%
AS Roma has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80
GF 13 · GA 5 · avg 2.60/1.00