GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 10/20/2023, 5:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

AD Carmelita · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

AS Puma Generalena are 0W-0D-4L in their last 4 (LLLL), averaging 0.25 scored and 4.00 conceded, while AD Carmelita are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 9 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and AD Carmelita hold a 37.6-point power-rating edge (7.7 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 61.3% in the Liga de Ascenso, while AD Carmelita holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

AD Carmelita

Probability

61.3%

Model confidence

61.3%

AD Carmelita has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AS Puma GeneralenaLLLL

GF 1 · GA 16 · avg 0.25/4.00

BTTS 1/4O2.5 4/4
AD CarmelitaWLLLL

GF 10 · GA 12 · avg 2.00/2.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
AS Puma GeneralenaAD Carmelita
4.8Attack66.7
0.0Defence33.3
0.0Form33.3
7.7Power45.3
1.01xG2.24
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