AS Marsavs
Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer
COMPLETEDTunisia · Ligue 1 · 8/29/2026, 3:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: AS Marsa 0-0 Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
AS Marsa 0-0 Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:59 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.52 | 35.8% | 31.6% | -4.1 pts |
| Draw | 2.65 | 34.0% | 31.9% | -2.0 pts |
| Away | 2.98 | 30.2% | 36.4% | 6.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.65 · Draw 1.65 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.0 pts
Projected Score
AS Marsa 0–0 Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
31.9%
Model confidence
36.4%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
AS MarsaLDLWW
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Progrès Sakiet EddaïerW
GF 2 · GA 0 · avg 2.00/0.00
BTTS 0/1O2.5 0/1
AS MarsaProgrès Sakiet Eddaïer
0.0Attack66.7
66.7Defence100.0
0.0Form100.0
23.7Power88.7
0.78xG1.03