AS Marsavs
CS Hammam-Lif
COMPLETEDTunisia · Ligue 1 · 10/23/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: AS Marsa 0-0 CS Hammam-Lif, with an exact score probability of 32%.
Prediction record
Final result
AS Marsa 1-1 CS Hammam-Lif
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 12:51 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.90 | 47.4% | 41.7% | -5.7 pts |
| Draw | 2.87 | 31.4% | 35.1% | 3.6 pts |
| Away | 4.26 | 21.2% | 23.3% | 2.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.87 · Draw 1.87 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.6 pts
Projected Score
AS Marsa 0–0 CS Hammam-Lif
Exact score probability: 32%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
35.1%
Model confidence
41.7%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
AS MarsaWDWLD
GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
CS Hammam-LifDWLLL
GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 0.40/0.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
AS MarsaCS Hammam-Lif
27.8Attack11.1
83.3Defence72.2
44.4Form22.2
52.8Power38.2
0.72xG0.45