GGOALVIO

Luxembourg · National Division · 9/6/2026, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

AS Jeunesse Esch · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (9%), 2-1 (8%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

AS Jeunesse Esch 5-1 Wiltz

Original prediction

AS Jeunesse Esch

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.1442.1%39.3%-2.8 pts
Draw3.5225.6%23.9%-1.7 pts
Away2.8032.3%36.8%4.5 pts

Historical EV

1X2 1.14 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-2.8 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–19%
  2. 2.2–18%
  3. 3.1–28%

Predicted outcome

AS Jeunesse Esch

Probability

39.3%

Model confidence

39.3%

AS Jeunesse Esch has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AS Jeunesse EschWLLLL

GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
WiltzLLLWD

GF 10 · GA 11 · avg 2.00/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
AS Jeunesse EschWiltz
46.7Attack66.7
33.3Defence26.7
20.0Form26.7
34.3Power38.1
1.91xG1.91
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