GGOALVIO

Luxembourg · National Division · 8/6/2023, 4:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Progres Niederkorn · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

AS Jeunesse Esch are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Progres Niederkorn are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Progres Niederkorn hold a 61.8-point power-rating edge (21.5 v 83.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.8% in the National Division, while Progres Niederkorn holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Progres Niederkorn

Probability

46.8%

Model confidence

46.8%

Progres Niederkorn has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AS Jeunesse EschWLDWL

GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Progres NiederkornWLWDW

GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
AS Jeunesse EschProgres Niederkorn
16.7Attack50.0
33.3Defence83.3
0.0Form100.0
21.5Power83.3
1.17xG1.72
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