GGOALVIO

Luxembourg · National Division · 8/20/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

AS Jeunesse Esch · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

AS Jeunesse Esch are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Fola Esch are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Fola Esch hold a 14.9-point power-rating edge (21.5 v 36.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.7% in the National Division, while AS Jeunesse Esch holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

AS Jeunesse Esch

Probability

50.7%

Model confidence

50.7%

AS Jeunesse Esch has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AS Jeunesse EschWLWLD

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Fola EschWLLWD

GF 10 · GA 11 · avg 2.00/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
AS Jeunesse EschFola Esch
16.7Attack37.6
33.3Defence32.3
0.0Form31.2
21.5Power36.4
1.91xG1.17
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