Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
AS Gabes · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: AS Gabes 0-0 CS Chebba, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
AS Gabes 1-2 CS Chebba
Original prediction
AS Gabes
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 7 October 2026 at 19:39 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.72 | 52.5% | 39.9% | -12.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.15 | 28.6% | 31.2% | 2.5 pts |
| Away | 4.80 | 18.8% | 28.9% | 10.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-12.6 pts
Projected Score
AS Gabes 0–0 CS Chebba
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
AS Gabes
Probability
39.9%
Model confidence
39.9%
AS Gabes has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
AS GabesDLLLL
GF 1 · GA 6 · avg 0.20/1.20
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
CS ChebbaDLWWL
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
AS GabesCS Chebba
16.7Attack16.7
66.7Defence66.7
16.7Form16.7
36.5Power36.5
0.99xG0.85