AS Eupenvs
Beerschot VA
COMPLETEDBelgium · Challenger Pro League · 10/25/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Beerschot VA · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
AS Eupen 1-2 Beerschot VA
Original prediction
Beerschot VA
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 1 October 2026 at 14:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.70 | 33.6% | 35.9% | 2.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.36 | 27.0% | 25.7% | -1.3 pts |
| Away | 2.31 | 39.4% | 38.4% | -1.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.31 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Beerschot VA
Probability
38.4%
Model confidence
38.4%
Beerschot VA has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40
GF 16 · GA 6 · avg 3.20/1.20