Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: AC Douane 0-0 Gendrim, with an exact score probability of 26%.
Prediction record
Final result
AC Douane 1-2 Gendrim
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 10 October 2026 at 15:24 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.83 | 48.9% | 38.3% | -10.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.09 | 29.1% | 32.8% | 3.8 pts |
| Away | 4.08 | 22.0% | 28.8% | 6.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.8 pts
Projected Score
AC Douane 0–0 Gendrim
Exact score probability: 26%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
32.8%
Model confidence
38.3%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
AC DouaneWDDD
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.25/1.00
BTTS 2/4O2.5 2/4
GendrimNo completed matches
GF 0 · GA 0 · avg 0.00/0.00
BTTS 0/0O2.5 0/0
AC DouaneGendrim
50.0Attack50.0
50.0Defence50.0
50.0Form50.0
50.0Power50.0
0.76xG0.64